November Oscar Picks

Here are my November Oscar nominee predictions. I still haven't seen much of anything, so this is all based on buzz going on out there right now and other websites predictions.

Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha
Good Night and Good Luck

Others: The New World, Crash, Match Point

Best Director
Ang Lee – Brokeback Mountain
Rob Marshall – Memoirs of a Geisha
Woody Allen – Match Point
Steven Spielberg – Munich
George Clooney – Good Night and Good Luck

Others: James Mangold – Walk the Line, David Cronenberg – A History of Violence

Best Actor
Joaquin Phoenix – Walk the Line
Heath Ledger – Brokeback Mountain
Phillip Seymour Hoffman – Capote
Eric Bana - Munich
Ralph Fiennes –The Constant Gardener

Others: Nathan Lane – The Producers, David Strathairn – Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actress
Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line
Judi Dench – Mrs. Henderson Presents
Zhang Ziyi – Memoirs of a Geisha
Charlize Theron – North County
Keira Knightly – Pride & Prejudice

Others: Joan Allen – The Upside of Anger, Felicity Huffman - Transamerica

Supporting Actor
Jake Gyllenhall – Brokeback Mountain
Bob Hoskins – Mrs. Henderson Presents
Geoffrey Rush – Munich
Matt Dillon – Crash
Paul Giametti – Cinderella Man

Others: William Hurt – A History of Violence,

Supporting Actress
Gong Li – Memoirs of a Geisha
Michelle Williams – Brokeback Mountain
Scarlett Johanson – Match Point
Diane Keaton – The Family Stone
Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener

Others: Maria Bello – A History of Violence, Uma Thurman – The Producers, Catherine Keener – Capote

Best Original Screenplay
Match Point
Good Night and Good Luck
The Squid and the Whale
The Family Stone

Others: The New World, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Best Adapted Screenplay
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha

Others: A History of Violence


Anonymous ryan d said...

You really think Memoirs is going to do that well? And you think they academy will give a nod to Kiera or Michelle from Dawson? I know the ladies categories are weak, but that seems unlikely. But like you said, I haven't seen any of these movies either, so who knows.

9:40 AM, November 28, 2005  
Blogger Chargenda said...

Well, the Academy does tons of weird stuff. But, Kiera is getting a lot of good press for the movie and if she gets some precursor awards she should get nominated. And Michelle is very likely at this point with all the really great buzz and early reviews for Brokeback. But, yeah, Memoir is iffy and starting to get a little early backlash after being called a shoe-in.

9:42 AM, November 28, 2005  
Anonymous ryan d said...

Exactly. But do you think the academy will ignore Domino?

10:05 AM, November 28, 2005  
Blogger Chargenda said...

Yeah, totally.

10:05 AM, November 28, 2005  
Blogger amandarama said...

I've heard the same thing about Memoirs - it peaked way too soon. And I think you're right, Ryan - the female catergories ARE weak. It seems like all males are tremendous.

my word: ioisy - is that some kind of flower?

2:41 PM, November 28, 2005  
Blogger elisepeterson said...

felicty has a strong shot. i would be tickled pink if crash was nominated for anything but it won't because it is right on about american culture, race. politics, etc. dying to see brokeback. what about narnia??? it has gotta get nominated for something.

8:10 AM, November 29, 2005  

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