Halfway through Oscar Chances

So, it is more than halfway through the year, and, as you know, I am obsessed with the Oscars. I keep a tally of 11 website that predict Oscar winners, and there is some consensus starting to form. Here are the top shots for an Oscar nod, as these prognosticators see it now, with all their results and guesses tallied. They are ranked, and those in bold are my choices. More than ten means there are some ties there. The photo above is from the set of Babel, which is getting a ton of early praise.

Hope this gets some of you psyched up for the rest of the year's movies!


  1. Dreamgirls
  2. Flags of our Fathers
  3. The Good Shepard
  4. Goya’s Ghost
  5. The Good German
  6. Little Children
  7. Babel
  8. A Prairie Home Companion
  9. All the Kings’s Men
  10. The Departed


  1. Milos Foreman – Goya’s Ghost
  2. DeNiro – The Good Shepard
  3. Clint Eastwood – Flags of our Fathers
  4. Bill Condon – Dreamgirls
  5. Martin Scorsese – The Departed
  6. Alejandro González Iñárritu – Babel
  7. Todd Field – Little Children
  8. Steven Soderberg – The Good German
  9. Robert Altman – Prairie Home Companion
  10. Paul Greengrass – United 93
  11. Anthony Minghella - Breaking and Entering


  1. Matt Damon – The Good Shepard
  2. Forest Whitaker – The Last King of Scotland
  3. Javier Bardem – Goya’s Ghost
  4. Jude Law – Breaking and Entering
  5. Brad Pitt – Babel
  6. Sean Penn – All the Kings Men
  7. George Clooney – The Good German
  8. Nicolas Cage – World Trade Center
  9. Ryan Philippe – Flags of Our Fathers
  10. Ed Harris - Copying Beethovan
  11. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Departed
    Not on the list but on mine: Gael Garcia Bernal - The Science of Sleep and Jamie Foxx - Dreamgirls


  1. Kate Winslet – Little Children
  2. Anette Bening – Running with Scissors
  3. Nicole Kidman – Fur
  4. Ashley Judd – Bug
  5. Cate Blanchett – Notes on a Scandal/Babel
  6. Kirsten Dunst – Marie Antoinette
  7. Meryl Streep – The Devil Wears Prada
  8. Renee Zellweger – Miss Potter
  9. Naomi Watts – The Painted Veil
  10. Beyonce Knowles - Dreamgirls

Supporting Actor

  1. Eddie Murphy – Dreamgirls
  2. Jack Nicholson – The Departed
  3. Brian Cox – Running with Scissors
  4. Gael Garcia Bernal – Babel
  5. Patrick Wilson – Little Children
  6. Javier Bardem – Goya’s Ghost
  7. Barry Pepper – Flags of Our Fathers
  8. Tim Robbins – Catch A Fire
  9. Albert Finney – A good Year
  10. Robert Downey Jr. – Fur
  11. James MacaVoy – The Last King of Scotland
  12. Kevin Kline – A Prairie Home Companion

Supporting Actress

  1. Jennifer Connoly – Little Children
  2. Jennifer Hudson – Dreamgirls
  3. Natalie Portman – Goya’s Ghost
  4. Maria Bello – World Trade Center
  5. Angelina Jolie – The Good Shepard
  6. Meryl Streep – Prairie Home Companion
  7. Maggie Gyllenhall – WTC/Stranger Than Fiction
  8. Annete Benning – Running with Scissors
  9. Judi Dench – Notes on a Scandal
  10. Jill Clayburgh – Running with Scissors
  11. Patricia Clarkson – All the King’s Men


Blogger amandarama said...

At this point, I'm only really looking forward to Running with Scissors and Dreamgirls - not because I'm NOT interested in everything else, but because I don't put the research in six months ahead like you do. I'm excited for all of them, but I can't wait for those two.
Yes yes yes to Patrick Wilson. I love him so much. And Jennifer Hudson is going to make Dreamgirls. I ADORE her.

10:36 AM, July 25, 2006  
Blogger brett said...

i am so excited for so many of these movies.

it's also a good year for many of my favorite actors.

the landmark at century city is going to be seeing a lot of me.

9:12 AM, July 27, 2006  
Anonymous jimmy said...

what is 'little children'? i am a HUGE fan of todd field. loved ruby in paradise. strange, c-genda. i am currently reading a collection of short stories by andre dubus including 'killings' which in the bedroom was based off of. todd field is cute too. he's the piano player in eyes wide shut who mysteriously disappears halfway though. he has an amazing career for a young artist.

speaking of in the bedroom, every year there is one movie that makes me want to celebrate and dress up for halloween. one year, i wanted to go as the drunken bitch from "when a man loves a woman." another year, i wanted to be 'leticia musgrove' from 'monster's ball. you and i both went as nicole kidman from 'birth' a few years ago. last year i broke tradition and went as james spader from 'secretary' but this year i plan on going as nicole kidman as virginia woolf in the hours.... i pitched going as naomi watts as a mother who lost her entire family in a car accident from 21 grams but no one got that... but i digress... one year i wanted to go as sissy spacek from in the bedroom so i could smash plates on the ground like in that one scene. i still might do that this year.

9:02 AM, July 31, 2006  

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